Il giorno martedì 2 dicembre, alle ore 16.30, nella sala riunioni “Salvatore Rionero” del dipartimento, nell’ambito dell’accordo di cooperazione scientifica “NAASCO” tra il DMA e il Dipartimento di Matematica dell’Università di Addis Abeba, Etiopia,

la prof. Manalebish Debalike ASFAW (Università di Addis Abeba)

terrà un seminario dal titolo:

“Modeling Cholera Dynamics with Optimal Control and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Strategy in Ethiopia”

This study develops a climate-sensitive deterministic model (SIR-B) to analyze cholera transmission in Ethiopia, integrating human and environmental pathways with climate-dependent parameters. Calibrated to national data from 2022–2024, the model indicates that environment-to-human transmission is dominant. An optimal control analysis assesses five interventions, and cost-effectiveness results
(ICER) identify vaccination as the most advantageous strategy. The findings highlight the key role of climate in cholera dynamics and offer evidence-based guidance for efficient and sustainable control policies.

Gli interessati sono invitati a partecipare.